Wednesday, 03 December 2008, 21:13
C O N F I D E N T I A L USUN NEW YORK 001130
TAGS PGOV, PREL, PHUM, KPKO, SU, AX, CG, UG
SUBJECT: ICC'S OCAMPO: BASHIR ARREST WARRANT IN JANUARY OR
Classified By: Ambassador Alejandro Wolff for reasons 1.4(b) and (d)
ICC prosecutor outlines his strategy for bringing the Sudanese president to justice, but finds French and Chinese hurdles that need first to be overcome. Key passages highlighted in yellow.
1. (C) SUMMARY: ICC Prosecutor Moreno-Ocampo on December 2 spoke with Ambassador Wolff at the UN on the situation in Sudan. Ocampo said the arrest warrant for Sudanese President Bashir would be issued in January or February. He said Arab leaders were frustrated with Bashir, and French President Sarkozy should be told it is time to move on Sudan's president. Bashir won't turn over indicted Minister Harun, according to Ocampo. He said China, as long as it keeps its oil concessions, does not care what happens to Bashir. Ocampo said arresting Lord's Resistance Army rebel leader Kony soon would encourage armed groups in both Sudan and the DRC to negotiate. END SUMMARY.
BASHIR ARREST WARRANT IN JANUARY OR FEBRUARY
2. (C) International Criminal Court (ICC) Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo and two ICC officials met with Ambassador Wolff and Poloff on December 2 at the UN. Ocampo expects the ICC to grant his request for the arrest warrant for Sudanese President Bashir "not before January and not after February" 2009. He asked for continued Security Council pressure on Bashir, saying Bashir would seize any perceived weakening of international pressure to further entrench himself.
ARABS FRUSTRATED WITH BASHIR; FRANCE NEEDS CLEAR MESSAGE
3. (C) Ocampo reported Arab League Secretary-General Amre Moussa told him all Arabs were frustrated with Bashir, but Ocampo believes Arabs could not publicly disavow Bashir. Ocampo said Libya thought Bashir was irresponsible. Ocampo also said African leaders were all "hiding behind France," hoping the French would find an exit strategy for Bashir, which, according to Ocampo, was "non-existent." Ocampo said Bashir was politically dead, but France "put him on artificial respiration," and said French President Sarkozy needed to receive a clear message that it was time to move on Bashir. (NOTE: Sarkozy reportedly met with Bashir in Doha November 29. END NOTE). Ocampo said the European Union is doing "nothing."
BASHIR WON'T GIVE UP HARUN
4. (C) When asked by Ambassador Wolff what he expected Bashir to do, Ocampo said Bashir would never turn over indicted Minister of Humanitarian Affairs Harun to the ICC. Ocampo said Bashir's next steps will depend on Security Council action.
CHINA ONLY WANTS OIL, IT DOESN'T CARE ABOUT BASHIR
5. (C) Ocampo said China, as long as it continues to have oil concessions in Sudan, does not care what happens to Bashir, and would not oppose his arrest if its revenues were not interrupted. Ocampo suggested the United States give China assurances about its oil concessions.
GETTING KONY NOW WILL "BRING THEM BEGGING" TO NEGOTIATE
6. (C) Ocampo said arresting Lord's Resistance Army leader Joseph Kony in the next month would send a strong signal to the Sudanese leaders and rebels, as well as Laurent Nkunda, leader of the DRC rebel group CNDP. Ocampo said quick action against Kony, under the legal framework of MONUC, would "bring them begging" to the table for negotiations, giving "two quick wins" -one in Sudan, one in the DRC-to the international community.
هذا ما نقله عمرو موسي لاكامبو عندما التقي به في اشارة واضحة لتعجيل امر اعتقال البشير وبموافقة الحكام العرب الذي ينوب عنهم عمرو موسي
سؤال موجه لاسد العرب او من ينوب عنه:
هل تثق في القادة العرب العرب بعد الان وستستمع لخطرفات معمر القذافي وحسني مبارك يوم الاثنين وهل ستستمر في اغراء اهل الجنوب بالبترول ظنا منك ان الوحدة تاتي بمال الدولة التي فرطت بها واصبحت قاب قوسين او ادني من التفتت ام انك ستستمع الي صوت العقل الذي ينادي انا وابن عمي علي الغريب
وان اهل الجنوب هم اولي بالمعروف من العروبة التي فشلت حتي تحرير فلسطين
والعرجاء لمراحها ياقريب الطيب مصطفي